Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.002331 0.002469 0.002616 0.002786 0.002976 0.003184 0.003432
2025-02-09 0.002168 0.002366 0.002590 0.002863 0.003195 0.003591 0.004110
2025-02-16 0.002025 0.002256 0.002527 0.002874 0.003321 0.003892 0.004712
2025-02-23 0.001955 0.002217 0.002535 0.002962 0.003540 0.004336 0.005597
2025-03-02 0.001848 0.002119 0.002457 0.002924 0.003582 0.004536 0.006173
2025-03-09 0.001745 0.002019 0.002365 0.002854 0.003565 0.004641 0.006615
2025-03-16 0.001705 0.001994 0.002367 0.002910 0.003732 0.005052 0.007733
2025-03-23 0.001667 0.001967 0.002362 0.002953 0.003882 0.005464 0.009039
2025-03-30 0.001607 0.001908 0.002310 0.002921 0.003907 0.005658 0.009961
2025-04-06 0.001537 0.001832 0.002229 0.002838 0.003838 0.005664 0.010411
2025-04-13 0.001488 0.001781 0.002179 0.002799 0.003839 0.005803 0.011320
2025-04-20 0.001405 0.001682 0.002058 0.002643 0.003622 0.005471 0.010648
2025-04-27 0.001377 0.001659 0.002047 0.002662 0.003725 0.005839 0.012557
2025-05-04 0.001365 0.001657 0.002066 0.002731 0.003927 0.006486 0.016399
2025-05-11 0.001336 0.001632 0.002049 0.002741 0.004019 0.006911 0.020249
2025-05-18 0.001328 0.001634 0.002074 0.002821 0.004261 0.007812 0.030697
2025-05-25 0.001292 0.001595 0.002034 0.002786 0.004264 0.008058 0.037698
2025-06-01 0.001252 0.001548 0.001979 0.002722 0.004199 0.008080 0.042668
2025-06-08 0.001241 0.001543 0.001989 0.002773 0.004388 0.008990 0.083909
2025-06-15 0.001228 0.001535 0.001993 0.002812 0.004558 0.009952 0.319073
2025-06-22 0.001201 0.001505 0.001960 0.002783 0.004564 0.010300 15.243942
2025-06-29 0.001165 0.001461 0.001904 0.002707 0.004451 0.010115 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001140 0.001432 0.001871 0.002672 0.004432 0.010340 NaN